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Flevy Management Insights Case Study
Strategic Growth Initiative for a Consumer Packaged Goods Firm in the Organic Sector


There are countless scenarios that require McKinsey 3 Horizons Model. Fortune 500 companies typically bring on global consulting firms, like McKinsey, BCG, Bain, Deloitte, and Accenture, or boutique consulting firms specializing in McKinsey 3 Horizons Model to thoroughly analyze their unique business challenges and competitive situations. These firms provide strategic recommendations based on consulting frameworks, subject matter expertise, benchmark data, best practices, and other tools developed from past client work. Let us analyze the following scenario.

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Consider this scenario: The organization, a mid-sized consumer packaged goods firm specializing in organic products, is facing stagnation in its growth trajectory.

Despite having a loyal customer base, the company struggles to expand its market share and improve profitability. The McKinsey 3 Horizons Model highlights the organization's excessive focus on Horizon 1, with minimal investment in Horizons 2 and 3, leading to limited innovation and future growth opportunities. The organization seeks to rebalance its portfolio across the three horizons to ensure sustainable growth.



Initial examination of the situation suggests that the root cause of the organization's challenges could be a disproportionate focus on immediate revenue-generating activities at the expense of mid-term innovation and long-term growth opportunities. Another hypothesis is that there may be insufficient processes or capabilities in place to effectively identify and scale new growth areas. Lastly, it's possible that the company's organizational culture or structure may not support the agility needed to innovate and move quickly on emerging opportunities.

Strategic Analysis and Execution Methodology

This challenge can be systematically addressed by adopting a structured, multi-phase approach to the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model, which is widely followed by leading consulting firms. This methodology not only helps in identifying and prioritizing growth initiatives across all three horizons but also in implementing these initiatives effectively to achieve sustainable growth.

  1. Assessment of Current State: Begin with a comprehensive analysis of the current portfolio, categorizing initiatives across the 3 Horizons . Key questions include: What percentage of resources are allocated to each horizon? What are the current growth drivers? This phase involves interviews, workshops, and financial analysis to understand the present focus and investments.
  2. Future Growth Opportunities: Identify and evaluate potential growth areas within Horizons 2 and 3. This involves market research, competitor analysis, and trend analysis to pinpoint emerging opportunities. The goal is to create a balanced portfolio that secures future growth while maintaining current operations.
  3. Strategy Development: Develop strategic initiatives for each horizon, prioritizing projects based on potential impact and alignment with the organization’s core competencies. This phase requires close collaboration with leadership to ensure strategic fit and feasibility.
  4. Implementation Planning: Create detailed action plans for prioritized initiatives, including resource allocation, timelines, and key milestones. This involves setting up cross-functional teams and defining governance structures to support execution.
  5. Execution and Monitoring: Implement the initiatives with continuous monitoring against predefined KPIs. Adjust strategies as necessary based on performance and external changes. This phase emphasizes agility and the ability to pivot as needed.

Learn more about Core Competencies Market Research Financial Analysis

For effective implementation, take a look at these McKinsey 3 Horizons Model best practices:

McKinsey 3 Horizons of Growth (31-slide PowerPoint deck)
McKinsey‘s Three Horizons of Growth (144-slide PowerPoint deck)
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McKinsey 3 Horizons Model Implementation Challenges & Considerations

One common question revolves around balancing short-term performance pressures with the need for long-term investments. The approach recommends a portfolio view that allows for resource allocation across all horizons without compromising the core business. Another concern is how to foster an innovation culture that supports Horizon 2 and 3 initiatives. Leadership commitment and clear communication are key, along with mechanisms to encourage and reward experimentation. Finally, there is the challenge of measuring success, especially for longer-term initiatives. Establishing clear metrics and milestones for each horizon can provide visibility and drive accountability.

Upon full implementation, the company can expect a more diversified growth portfolio, improved market responsiveness, and enhanced innovation capabilities. These outcomes will contribute to increased market share, revenue growth, and long-term sustainability.

Potential implementation challenges include resistance to change, especially in reallocating resources to less familiar initiatives, and the difficulty of accurately predicting future market trends. Effective change management practices and a flexible strategy that can adapt to new information are crucial.

Learn more about Change Management Innovation Culture Revenue Growth

McKinsey 3 Horizons Model KPIs

KPIS are crucial throughout the implementation process. They provide quantifiable checkpoints to validate the alignment of operational activities with our strategic goals, ensuring that execution is not just activity-driven, but results-oriented. Further, these KPIs act as early indicators of progress or deviation, enabling agile decision-making and course correction if needed.


A stand can be made against invasion by an army. No stand can be made against invasion by an idea.
     – Victor Hugo

  • Revenue Growth by Horizon: Measures the impact of initiatives in each horizon on overall revenue.
  • ROI of Horizon 2 and 3 Initiatives - Evaluates the financial returns of mid-term and long-term investments.
  • Innovation Pipeline Strength: Assesses the number and potential impact of initiatives in the innovation pipeline.

These KPIs offer insights into the effectiveness of the diversified growth strategy and the organization's ability to innovate and capture new market opportunities. Tracking these metrics over time enables continuous refinement of the strategy.

For more KPIs, take a look at the Flevy KPI Library, one of the most comprehensive databases of KPIs available. Having a centralized library of KPIs saves you significant time and effort in researching and developing metrics, allowing you to focus more on analysis, implementation of strategies, and other more value-added activities.

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Implementation Insights

Experience has shown that success in implementing the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model hinges on leadership's commitment to a balanced growth portfolio. Organizations that clearly communicate the purpose and expectations of Horizon 2 and 3 initiatives, and that integrate these efforts into the overall strategic plan, tend to achieve more sustainable growth. It's also critical to establish a culture that values learning and agility, as these attributes enable companies to quickly adapt and capitalize on emerging opportunities.

McKinsey 3 Horizons Model Deliverables

  • Strategic Growth Plan (PPT)
  • Horizon Portfolio Analysis (Excel)
  • Innovation Pipeline Dashboard (Excel)
  • Growth Initiative Roadmap (MS Word)
  • Implementation Progress Report (MS Word)

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McKinsey 3 Horizons Model Best Practices

To improve the effectiveness of implementation, we can leverage best practice documents in McKinsey 3 Horizons Model. These resources below were developed by management consulting firms and McKinsey 3 Horizons Model subject matter experts.

McKinsey 3 Horizons Model Case Studies

Several leading consumer goods companies have successfully applied the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model to rejuvenate their growth. One notable example is a global firm that reallocated 20% of its R&D budget to Horizon 3 innovations , resulting in the launch of a game-changing product line that captured significant market share and drove a 30% increase in revenue over 5 years .

Explore additional related case studies

Aligning Organizational Structure with the 3 Horizons Model

One critical aspect of successfully implementing the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model involves aligning the organizational structure to support initiatives across all three horizons. Traditional structures often prioritize short-term gains, which can stifle innovation and long-term growth. A key step is creating dedicated teams for Horizon 2 and 3 initiatives, ensuring they have the resources and autonomy needed to explore and develop new growth avenues. This might involve establishing separate innovation labs or incubator programs that operate with a degree of independence from the core business operations.

Moreover, leadership must foster a culture that encourages collaboration across these teams, breaking down silos that can prevent the sharing of insights and resources. Implementing a cross-functional governance model can facilitate this integration, ensuring that initiatives across all horizons are aligned with the overall strategic objectives of the organization. According to a study by McKinsey, companies that actively realign their organizational structure to support innovation see a 60% higher growth rate compared to those that do not.

Finally, it is crucial to establish clear communication channels and feedback loops between these dedicated teams and the executive leadership. This ensures that strategic adjustments can be made promptly in response to new learnings or shifts in the market landscape. By aligning the organizational structure with the 3 Horizons Model, companies can more effectively balance the need for short-term performance with the pursuit of long-term growth opportunities.

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Measuring Success in Horizon 2 and 3 Initiatives

Another area of focus for executives is how to effectively measure the success of Horizon 2 and 3 initiatives, which by nature, are more uncertain and have longer-term horizons than traditional business activities. Traditional financial metrics such as ROI and quarterly earnings may not fully capture the value these initiatives bring in their nascent stages. Instead, executives should consider alternative metrics such as the rate of learning, number of viable products developed, and market penetration rates for new offerings.

Adopting a balanced scorecard approach that includes both financial and non-financial metrics can provide a more comprehensive view of performance. This might include measures of customer engagement, brand equity, and employee innovation contributions. For example, a report by BCG highlights that companies emphasizing non-financial metrics in their innovation processes see a 45% higher shareholder return over five years than those focusing solely on financial metrics.

It is also essential to set clear, realistic milestones for these initiatives, allowing for adjustments as the market and technological landscape evolves. This approach enables organizations to track progress and make informed decisions on whether to pivot, persevere, or terminate initiatives based on strategic fit and potential for impact.

Learn more about Balanced Scorecard

Integrating Sustainability into the 3 Horizons Strategy

In recent years, sustainability has emerged as a critical factor in strategic planning, particularly for consumer packaged goods companies in the organic sector. Executives must consider how to integrate sustainability initiatives across all three horizons, ensuring that growth is not only profitable but also environmentally and socially responsible. This begins with embedding sustainability into the core values of the organization, making it a key consideration in the development and evaluation of new initiatives.

For Horizon 1, this may involve optimizing current operations for sustainability, such as reducing waste or improving energy efficiency. For Horizons 2 and 3, companies should look to innovate in ways that address broader environmental challenges, such as developing new, sustainable product lines or business models that contribute to a circular economy. According to Accenture, 62% of consumers are more likely to purchase from companies that are committed to sustainability.

Moreover, sustainability can be a significant driver of innovation and new market opportunities. By leveraging their commitment to sustainability, companies can differentiate themselves in the market, attract and retain talent, and build stronger relationships with customers and other stakeholders. This requires a strategic approach to sustainability that goes beyond compliance and seeks to create long-term value.

Learn more about Strategic Planning Circular Economy

Fostering an Innovation-Driven Culture

For the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model to be effectively implemented, fostering an innovation-driven culture is paramount. This involves creating an environment where experimentation is encouraged, and failure is seen as an opportunity to learn rather than a setback. Executive leadership plays a critical role in setting the tone for this culture, demonstrating a commitment to innovation through their actions and decisions.

One practical step is to implement programs that recognize and reward innovative ideas and efforts across the organization. This could include innovation challenges, hackathons, or recognition awards. Such initiatives not only stimulate creativity but also signal the organization’s commitment to innovation. A study by Deloitte found that organizations with a strong culture of innovation see a 33% increase in revenue growth.

Additionally, providing employees with opportunities for skill development and exposure to new ideas can further bolster an innovation-driven culture. This may involve partnerships with academic institutions, participation in industry consortia, or internal cross-functional rotations. By investing in the development of their people, companies can build the diverse skill sets and perspectives needed to drive innovation across all three horizons.

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Key Findings and Results

Here is a summary of the key results of this case study:

  • Increased overall revenue by 15% year-over-year, attributed to balanced investments across the 3 Horizons.
  • Launched two new product lines under Horizon 2, achieving a 25% market penetration rate within six months.
  • Reduced operational costs by 8% through sustainability initiatives in Horizon 1, enhancing profitability.
  • Established three Horizon 3 partnerships focusing on innovative organic materials, with two prototypes in development.
  • Strengthened the innovation pipeline by 40%, as measured by the number and potential impact of initiatives.
  • Improved employee engagement scores by 30%, reflecting a stronger culture of innovation.

The initiative to rebalance the organization's portfolio across the McKinsey 3 Horizons has yielded significant results, demonstrating the value of a diversified growth strategy. The 15% increase in overall revenue and the successful market penetration of new product lines are clear indicators of success, showcasing the effectiveness of prioritizing both current operations and future growth opportunities. The reduction in operational costs through sustainability initiatives not only improved profitability but also aligned with the company's core values and market positioning. However, the journey was not without its challenges. The initial resistance to reallocating resources to Horizon 2 and 3 initiatives underscores the importance of effective change management and the need for clear communication from leadership. Additionally, while the establishment of Horizon 3 partnerships is promising, the long-term success of these ventures remains uncertain, highlighting the inherent risks of investing in emerging technologies and markets.

For future endeavors, it is recommended to continue fostering a culture that supports innovation and agility, ensuring the organization remains responsive to market changes and emerging opportunities. Strengthening the governance structure around Horizon 2 and 3 initiatives could further enhance their success rates, providing clearer pathways from ideation to implementation. Additionally, exploring more advanced analytics and market forecasting tools could improve the accuracy of predicting future trends, enabling more strategic investment decisions. Finally, increasing the focus on sustainability not only in operations but also in product innovation could open up new growth avenues and further differentiate the company in the competitive organic products market.

Source: Strategic Growth Initiative for a Consumer Packaged Goods Firm in the Organic Sector, Flevy Management Insights, 2024

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