Flevy Management Insights Case Study
Strategic Growth Advisory for an Agricultural Firm
     David Tang    |    McKinsey 3 Horizons Model


Fortune 500 companies typically bring on global consulting firms, like McKinsey, BCG, Bain, Deloitte, and Accenture, or boutique consulting firms specializing in McKinsey 3 Horizons Model to thoroughly analyze their unique business challenges and competitive situations. These firms provide strategic recommendations based on consulting frameworks, subject matter expertise, benchmark data, KPIs, best practices, and other tools developed from past client work. We followed this management consulting approach for this case study.

TLDR The organization experienced stagnation in growth and profitability, necessitating a pivot to innovative ag tech and sustainable farming solutions. Implementing initiatives across all horizons boosted market share, diversified revenue, and established leadership in sustainable ag innovation. This underscores the need for strategic realignment and advanced analytics to drive future growth.

Reading time: 9 minutes

Consider this scenario: The organization is a mid-sized agricultural company with a strong presence in the North American market.

It has reached a plateau in growth and profitability within its Horizon 1 core business activities and is seeking to diversify its revenue streams. The organization recognizes the need to invest in innovative agricultural technologies (Horizon 2) and explore sustainable, future farming solutions (Horizon 3) to ensure long-term competitiveness and market leadership. However, the company is challenged by resource allocation, maintaining operational excellence, and driving innovation simultaneously.



Despite the organization's current market position, the stagnation of growth and profitability suggests underlying inefficiencies in managing its portfolio according to the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model. Initial hypotheses might include a lack of strategic focus on Horizon 2 initiatives, underinvestment in Horizon 3 opportunities, and potential overextension of resources within Horizon 1 activities that are detracting from long-term strategic objectives.

The methodology for addressing the organization's challenges involves a 4-phase approach that leverages the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model to balance short-term performance with long-term growth:

  1. Assessment of Current State: Evaluate the organization's existing business portfolio, identifying the current allocation of resources and innovation efforts across the three horizons. This phase will focus on understanding the core business drivers, the potential of emerging opportunities, and the vision for future growth.
  2. Strategic Realignment: Develop a strategic framework to reallocate resources more effectively, ensuring that Horizon 1 remains profitable while nurturing Horizon 2 and planting seeds for Horizon 3. This involves prioritizing initiatives with the highest potential for sustainable growth and aligning them with the organization's overall strategic objectives.
  3. Operational Execution: Implement changes to operational processes to support the newly aligned strategic focus, ensuring that Horizon 1 efficiency is not compromised. This phase will also establish clear innovation pipelines for Horizon 2 and ideation platforms for Horizon 3 opportunities.
  4. Performance Monitoring & Adjustment: Establish a set of KPIs to monitor the performance across all horizons and create a feedback loop for continuous improvement. This phase ensures that the organization remains agile and can adjust its strategy as market dynamics evolve.

Implementation Challenges & Considerations

Ensuring the robustness of the core business while investing in innovation requires a delicate balance. Executives often question the risk of diverting resources from proven revenue generators to untested ventures. A well-structured risk management plan is essential to mitigate such concerns, ensuring that Horizon 1 activities are not jeopardized while fostering growth in Horizons 2 and 3.

Expected business outcomes include increased market share and revenue growth in the short term, with Horizon 1 optimization. In the medium term, Horizon 2 initiatives should contribute to a diversification of the revenue base, and in the long term, Horizon 3 ventures should position the organization at the forefront of agricultural innovation.

Potential implementation challenges include resistance to change within the organization, the complexity of managing multiple strategic initiatives simultaneously, and the risk of innovation efforts not yielding the expected results.

For effective implementation, take a look at these McKinsey 3 Horizons Model best practices:

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Implementation KPIs

KPIS are crucial throughout the implementation process. They provide quantifiable checkpoints to validate the alignment of operational activities with our strategic goals, ensuring that execution is not just activity-driven, but results-oriented. Further, these KPIs act as early indicators of progress or deviation, enabling agile decision-making and course correction if needed.


Measurement is the first step that leads to control and eventually to improvement.
     – H. James Harrington

  • Revenue Growth by Horizon: To track the performance of each business segment and ensure balanced growth.
  • ROI on Innovation Investments: To measure the effectiveness of investments in Horizon 2 and Horizon 3 initiatives.
  • Operational Efficiency Metrics: To ensure that Horizon 1 activities remain lean and profitable during the transition.

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Deliverables

  • Strategic Growth Plan (PowerPoint)
  • Resource Allocation Framework (Excel)
  • Innovation Pipeline Dashboard (PowerPoint)
  • Operational Efficiency Report (MS Word)
  • Risk Management Plan (MS Word)

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Case Studies

One notable case study involves a global food producer that successfully adopted the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model. The company reallocated resources to develop plant-based protein alternatives (Horizon 2) while researching lab-grown meat technologies (Horizon 3), resulting in a 25% revenue increase over five years.

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Additional Executive Insights

In navigating the complexities of the 3 Horizons Model, executives must maintain a disciplined approach to Strategic Planning, ensuring that today's profits do not come at the expense of tomorrow's growth. This requires a nuanced understanding of the organization's competitive landscape and a commitment to fostering a culture of Innovation across all levels of the organization.

Another key insight is the importance of Leadership in driving Business Transformation. The successful execution of a multi-horizon strategy demands leaders who can inspire, direct, and manage change effectively, with a clear vision for the company's future.

Finally, the integration of advanced analytics and big data into the decision-making process can significantly enhance the organization's ability to identify and capitalize on emerging trends, ensuring that investments in Horizon 2 and Horizon 3 are data-driven and strategically sound.

Resource Allocation for Horizon 2 and Horizon 3 Initiatives

One of the primary concerns for executives is how to effectively allocate resources to Horizon 2 and Horizon 3 initiatives without disrupting the cash flow from Horizon 1. According to a report by McKinsey, companies that actively rebalance their business portfolios can achieve a 10% higher total return to shareholders compared to those that do not. A strategic reallocation framework should therefore be developed to prioritize investments in Horizon 2 and 3, while ensuring that Horizon 1 remains efficient and profitable.

The reallocation framework would benefit from a dynamic resource allocation process that is responsive to market changes and internal performance metrics. This process allows for fluid investment in innovation while still protecting the core business. For instance, setting aside a fixed percentage of annual profits specifically for Horizon 2 and 3 projects can create a sustainable funding model that doesn't rely on the cannibalization of Horizon 1 resources.

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Managing Organizational Change and Resistance

Another issue that executives face is managing change and overcoming resistance within the organization. A study by McKinsey reveals that 70% of change programs fail to achieve their goals, largely due to employee resistance and lack of management support. To mitigate these risks, it is crucial to develop a comprehensive change management plan that includes clear communication of the strategic vision, active involvement of employees in the change process, and a structured approach to managing the transition.

The change management plan should also include training and development programs to equip employees with the necessary skills to adapt to new roles and responsibilities. By fostering a culture that values adaptability and continuous learning, the organization can better manage the transition to a more diversified business model that includes a focus on Horizon 2 and Horizon 3 initiatives.

Measuring ROI on Innovation Investments

Measuring the return on investment (ROI) for Horizon 2 and Horizon 3 investments is another critical area for executives. According to BCG's 2018 report on innovation, high-level innovators achieve up to 5 times the revenue from new products compared to less innovative companies. To quantify the ROI on innovation investments, a metrics system that includes leading and lagging indicators should be established. Leading indicators could encompass innovation pipeline strength and customer engagement metrics, while lagging indicators might measure market penetration and revenue growth.

Additionally, it's important to establish a clear understanding that ROI on Horizon 2 and 3 investments may follow a different timeline and risk profile compared to Horizon 1. Setting realistic expectations and having a long-term perspective is essential for evaluating the success of these investments accurately.

Optimizing Operational Efficiency in Horizon 1

While focusing on growth in Horizons 2 and 3, ensuring that Horizon 1 remains operationally efficient is crucial. A report by PwC on operational efficiency outlines that organizations can achieve up to a 15% reduction in costs through process optimization and automation. Therefore, operational efficiency metrics should be closely monitored, and continuous improvement initiatives should be implemented to streamline processes, reduce waste, and maintain profitability.

Adopting lean management techniques and investing in automation technologies can help the organization to maintain a competitive edge in its core business. These strategies not only improve efficiency but also free up resources that can be redirected to support Horizon 2 and 3 initiatives.

Supporting Innovation with Advanced Analytics

The integration of advanced analytics and big data is a significant factor in supporting innovation and making informed decisions. Gartner's research indicates that data-driven organizations are 23 times more likely to acquire customers and 6 times as likely to retain them. By leveraging data analytics, the organization can gain insights into market trends, customer preferences, and potential disruptions, which can inform the strategic direction of Horizon 2 and Horizon 3 investments.

Investing in analytic capabilities can also enable the organization to better predict the outcomes of innovation initiatives, thus reducing the risk of failure. It's critical for executives to foster a culture that not only values data but also encourages the sharing of insights across the organization to support a cohesive innovation strategy.

Leadership's Role in Business Transformation

Leadership plays a pivotal role in driving business transformation. A leader's ability to articulate a clear vision, engage with stakeholders, and drive change is paramount to the successful implementation of a multi-horizon strategy. Accenture's research on leadership in the digital age emphasizes the importance of leaders being digitally savvy and having the ability to foster an innovative culture.

Executives should focus on developing leadership capabilities within the organization that align with the strategic direction of the multi-horizon approach. This involves identifying and nurturing talent that can champion Horizon 2 and Horizon 3 initiatives while maintaining the strength of the core business in Horizon 1.

Monitoring Performance Across All Horizons

Finally, establishing a set of KPIs to monitor performance across all horizons is essential for maintaining strategic alignment and achieving growth objectives. According to Deloitte, companies that regularly review their portfolio and adjust their strategies can increase their investment returns by up to 7.9%. The performance monitoring system should include a balanced scorecard that reflects financial, customer, operational, and innovation metrics.

This balanced scorecard approach ensures that the organization maintains a holistic view of its performance and can make data-driven decisions for continuous improvement. Regularly reviewing and adjusting the strategic plan based on these KPIs can help the organization stay agile and responsive to market dynamics.

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Key Findings and Results

Here is a summary of the key results of this case study:

  • Increased market share by 5% within Horizon 1 activities through operational efficiency improvements.
  • Horizon 2 initiatives contributed to a 15% diversification of the revenue base within the first year of implementation.
  • Investments in Horizon 3 ventures positioned the organization as a leader in sustainable agricultural innovation, attracting significant industry attention.
  • Operational efficiency metrics revealed a 10% reduction in waste and a 12% improvement in process efficiency in Horizon 1 operations.
  • Advanced analytics and big data integration enhanced customer acquisition by 20% and retention by 25%.
  • ROI on Horizon 2 and 3 innovation investments is tracking above initial projections, with a 30% increase in revenue from new products.

The initiative's overall success is evident from the significant improvements across all three horizons, particularly in operational efficiencies and revenue diversification. The strategic realignment towards Horizon 2 and 3, while maintaining Horizon 1's robustness, has not only improved the company's market position but also its future growth prospects. The successful integration of advanced analytics and a focus on sustainable innovation have positioned the company as a forward-thinking leader in the agricultural sector. However, the journey was not without its challenges, including managing organizational change and ensuring the ROI on innovation investments. Alternative strategies, such as a more aggressive investment in digital transformation or a faster scale-up of Horizon 3 initiatives, could potentially have accelerated growth further.

For next steps, it is recommended to continue the momentum in Horizon 2 and 3 investments while exploring additional sustainable and innovative agricultural technologies. Strengthening partnerships with technology providers and research institutions could enhance the company's innovation pipeline. Additionally, a focus on talent development, particularly in digital and analytical capabilities, will support the company's long-term strategic objectives. Finally, continuously monitoring and adjusting the strategic plan based on performance metrics will ensure the company remains agile and responsive to market dynamics.

Source: Maritime Industry Digital Transformation Initiative, Flevy Management Insights, 2024

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