Situation:
Question to Marcus:
Based on your specific organizational details captured above, Marcus recommends the following areas for evaluation (in roughly decreasing priority). If you need any further clarification or details on the specific frameworks and concepts described below, please contact us: support@flevy.com.
In a chemical manufacturing context in Asia, improving cash flow begins with institutionalizing a rolling short-term cash forecast (weekly/13-week) tied directly to production schedules, procurement commitments and collection performance. Require plants to submit inventory build plans and raw-material purchase orders to treasury cut-offs so cash impact is visible immediately.
Centralize cash visibility via bank-connect and a single cash dashboard; reconcile intercompany flows daily and adopt cash-pooling where regulatory regimes permit. Use dynamic discounting and early-pay/cash-back offers selectively with large buyers, and implement structured receivables financing (factoring or receivable-backed programs) for credit-constrained customers in regional markets. On payables, negotiate milestone-based payments for large feedstock purchases and include indexed price-sharing clauses to handle commodity swings. Explicitly model VAT/rebate timing, import duties and local remittance restrictions across jurisdictions—these timing differences are common causes of surprise shortfalls in Asia. Finally, set cash target bands for each plant/BU and tie variable compensation for plant finance leads to adherence, ensuring operational decisions are evaluated for immediate cash consequences, not just P&L outcomes. This alignment of operational triggers and cash rules materially reduces liquidity surprises during feedstock volatility or regulatory-driven capex cycles.
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Focus on the three levers—DSO, DIO, DPO—with plant-level targets and coordinated operational plans. Reduce DSO by digitizing invoicing and collections (e-invoicing, customer portals) and implementing standardized credit terms across markets while using segmentation: tight credit and prepayment for higher-risk customers, flexible terms for strategic accounts.
Cut DIO by SKU rationalization (eliminate slow-moving intermediates), vendor-managed inventory for predictable feedstocks, and tighter batch sequencing to minimize work-in-process. Deploy demand-driven replenishment with safety-stock calibrated to supplier lead time variability typical in Asia. Extend DPO tactically through supplier financing programs and milestone payments, not unilateral term stretching that damages relationships—use reverse factoring for key suppliers to preserve working capital without supply risk. Integrate these levers into monthly S&OP so inventory build or sales promotions automatically generate cash-cycle impacts for finance review. Track working-capital by product family and by plant to find high-capital inefficiencies (e.g., intermediate storage between reaction stages) and prioritize interventions that free the most cash per dollar spent.
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Transform S&OP into a true integrated planning forum that produces a single forecasted P&L and cash view. Make cross-functional representation mandatory: commercial, procurement, operations, quality/regulatory, and finance.
Move from volume-only S&OP to value-based S&OP: each demand scenario must show margin, working capital, and cash implications—so trade-offs (e.g., expedite production vs. accept longer payables) are explicit. Incorporate commodity price scenarios and plant-level capacity constraints (including environmental permit limits) so procurement hedges and production mixes are decided coherently. Run a monthly “finance S&OP” variant that stress-tests upcoming quarter forecasts against cash thresholds and capex needs (e.g., environmental upgrades). Use the S&OP cadence to operationalize pass-through clauses in contracts for volatile feedstocks and to schedule maintenance or shutdowns in ways that optimize cash timing. In Asia, where demand and supply can be lumpy and regulatory changes frequent, a robust S&OP with finance as an equal partner prevents misaligned inventory builds and ensures capital is deployed for strategic growth, not stuck in excess stock.
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Replace static annual budgets with rolling, driver-based forecasts updated monthly (or weekly for cash) and anchored to operational drivers—production volumes, yield rates, takt times, lead times, and feedstock indices. Use a bottom-up validation step from plant operations to catch feasibility gaps early.
Incorporate scenario-layering for commodity price swings and regulatory cost shocks (e.g., emissions compliance), and require finance to produce cash and working-capital sensitivity outputs for each scenario. Adopt a zero-based review for discretionary spend lines tied to operational KPIs (energy, waste, maintenance), freeing cash for strategic capex. Enforce a fast reforecast process after major market moves (feedstock >X% move or significant FX devaluation) so decisions aren’t based on stale numbers. Finally, introduce rolling capital prioritization—only projects with a clear cash return or regulatory necessity get funded in the short term—to keep liquidity available for opportunistic raw-material purchases or contingency needs common in Asian supply chains.
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Start with data plumbing: master data for SKUs, suppliers, customers, plant yields and standard lead times; then connect ERP, MES, procurement and bank feeds to build a single source of truth. Deploy predictive analytics for demand (using external signals—trade flows, end-market indicators in Asia like construction or agriculture cycles), and for commodity price forecasting using both time-series models and procurement contract data.
Build an automated cash-forecast engine that ingests S&OP outputs, AP/AR aging and bank balances to produce scenario cash runs. Use anomaly detection to flag invoice disputes, production yield deterioration or unexpected duty/VAT hits that historically cause cash surprises. Ensure strong data governance and local-language support for country-specific tax and reporting idiosyncrasies in Asia. Provide role-based dashboards for CFO, plant managers and procurement with drill-through to transactional drivers—this accelerates root-cause analysis and enables finance to influence operations with evidence rather than intuition.
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Centralize treasury operations where legal and regulatory constraints permit to improve liquidity management across Asian subsidiaries. Implement notional cash pooling or physical pooling where allowed, and automate intercompany netting to reduce redundant cross-border flows.
Establish a clear FX and commodity hedging policy tied to the company’s procurement calendar and sales exposure—coordinate hedges with procurement so cash flows from hedges align with raw-material payments. Secure committed short-term liquidity facilities and extend supplier finance programs for strategic vendors to smooth working-capital cycles. Integrate bank connectivity (SWIFT/API) into the ERP for straight-through reconciliation and intraday visibility, which is critical when regional banks have differing cut-offs. Build stronger relationships with regional banks to access trade financing and local currency facilities in markets with foreign-exchange controls. Finally, create a treasury escalation playbook for regulatory or market disruptions (sudden FX devaluation, port closures) to maintain payments for critical raw-material importers without jeopardizing compliance.
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Standardize credit policy and invoicing formats across the region and digitize the billing-to-cash process—electronic invoices, customer portals, and automated reminders materially shorten DSO in fragmented Asian markets. Segment customers by risk and margin; apply tighter terms or letters of credit for lower-tier customers while offering early-pay discounts to large strategic buyers.
Integrate real-time credit scoring using public registries and payment history, and consider credit insurance or trade finance for larger receivables exposures. Centralize dispute resolution and root-cause logging (quality holds, price disagreements) so operations can address recurring process failures causing delayed collections. Use collection scorecards with KPIs for both commercial and finance teams, and align sales incentives so revenue growth doesn’t come at the cost of worse cash conversion. For high-volume, low-margin chemical products, consider automated lockbox and direct debit arrangements to accelerate cash collection.
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Move to centralized AP processing with three-way match automation and e-invoicing to gain control of payment timing. Consolidate payment runs to exploit float while preserving supplier relationships—use predictive cash forecasts to determine optimal pay dates rather than fixed calendars.
Implement supplier financing (reverse factoring) for tier-1 and strategic suppliers so you can extend DPO without creating supplier liquidity stress, critical in Asian regions where many suppliers are SMEs. Negotiate dynamic discounting agreements that allow flexible early payment in exchange for discounts when cash is abundant. Standardize procurement terms and enforce PO discipline to reduce invoice disputes and inadvertent early payments. Monitor supplier concentration and offer staged payment terms for high-risk vendors tied to quality and delivery KPIs to avoid operational disruptions that could create downstream cash impacts.
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Build driver-led, plant-level financial models that link production plans, yields, batch cycle times, raw-material price curves, FX, inventory holding, and payment terms into P&L and cashflow outputs. Maintain a scenario library: base, upside, downside, feedstock shock, regulatory compliance cost, and force majeure.
Use stochastic techniques (Monte Carlo) for commodity and FX volatility to quantify cash-at-risk and required liquidity buffers. Model the cash impact of operational choices—e.g., running an extra shift, changing batch recipes, or delaying maintenance—so plant managers see cash and margin implications before decisions are made. Ensure model governance (version control, audit trail) and integrate models with BI dashboards used by S&OP and treasury so scenario runs are repeatable and auditable. This creates a single truth for capital allocation and working-capital trade-offs across the organization.
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Embed a commerce-to-cash risk framework covering commodity price, FX, counterparty credit, regulatory/environmental compliance, and operational disruptions. Tie risk metrics into S&OP and treasury: every major purchase or contract must have an assessed cash-and-risk impact.
Establish a formal commodity hedging policy co-owned by procurement and finance with clear triggers, tenor limits and accounting treatment. Diversify supplier base in the region and require contingency plans (alternate logistics, dual-sourcing) for critical feedstocks. Build insurance and contractual protections (force majeure, pass-through clauses) for market and regulatory shocks common in Asian markets. Operationalize a monthly risk heat map with quantifiable cash exposures and recommended mitigations (hedges, liquidity lines, supplier financing), and require executive sign-off for residual risks above defined thresholds.
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