Flevy Management Insights Case Study
Strategic Growth Framework for Space Technology Firm in Competitive Market
     David Tang    |    McKinsey 3 Horizons Model


Fortune 500 companies typically bring on global consulting firms, like McKinsey, BCG, Bain, Deloitte, and Accenture, or boutique consulting firms specializing in McKinsey 3 Horizons Model to thoroughly analyze their unique business challenges and competitive situations. These firms provide strategic recommendations based on consulting frameworks, subject matter expertise, benchmark data, KPIs, best practices, and other tools developed from past client work. We followed this management consulting approach for this case study.

TLDR A space tech firm improved resource allocation using the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model, balancing ops with innovation and market expansion. This led to a 15% increase in growth investments, reduced operational costs, and a doubled innovation pipeline, enhancing long-term sustainability.

Reading time: 9 minutes

Consider this scenario: A firm specializing in space technology is struggling to balance its current operations with innovation and new market expansion, in line with the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model.

The organization is facing challenges in allocating resources effectively across the three horizons: maintaining and defending core business (Horizon 1), nurturing emerging business opportunities (Horizon 2), and creating viable options for future growth through innovation (Horizon 3). Despite their potential, Horizon 2 and 3 initiatives are not reaching their expected growth trajectory, which is impeding the company's long-term sustainability and competitiveness in the rapidly evolving space technology sector.



In response to the space technology firm's challenge, initial hypotheses might focus on inadequate investment in Horizon 2 and 3 initiatives, a lack of a structured innovation process, or perhaps insufficient strategic alignment between the horizons. The organization's leadership could be overly focused on Horizon 1, which may be limiting their ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities and future innovations.

Strategic Analysis and Execution Methodology

A structured, multi-phase approach to implementing the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model can provide the organization with a clear pathway to balanced growth and resource allocation. This methodology typically enables firms to optimize their current operations while systematically investing in future growth engines.

  1. Assessment and Realignment: Begin with a thorough assessment of the current state of each horizon. Evaluate the organization's investment, resources, and strategic focus on Horizon 1 activities compared to Horizons 2 and 3. Realign resources and attention to ensure a balanced portfolio.
  2. Opportunity Analysis: Identify and analyze emerging trends and technologies in the space sector. Assess their potential impact and fit within Horizons 2 and 3. This phase should also include a competitive analysis to understand the landscape and identify strategic gaps.
  3. Innovation Process Design: Develop a structured innovation process to systematically move ideas from conception through to commercialization. This includes establishing criteria for progression between horizons and setting up cross-functional innovation teams.
  4. Strategic Execution Planning: Create detailed execution plans for each horizon, defining milestones, timelines, and accountability. This phase focuses on translating the strategic vision into actionable steps.
  5. Performance Management and Review: Implement a robust performance management framework to monitor progress across all horizons. Regular review meetings should be scheduled to ensure initiatives are on track and to make necessary adjustments.

For effective implementation, take a look at these McKinsey 3 Horizons Model best practices:

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McKinsey 3 Horizons Model Implementation Challenges & Considerations

While the methodology provides a comprehensive approach, executives may question its adaptability to the rapid changes in the space technology industry. The process is designed to be dynamic, allowing for recalibration of strategies and reallocation of resources as market conditions evolve. Executives might also inquire about the integration of this model with existing strategic planning processes. This approach is complementary and can be seamlessly incorporated, enhancing the organization's strategic planning capabilities.

Upon successful implementation, the organization can expect to see improved allocation of resources across all horizons, leading to a more robust and diverse portfolio of products and services. Horizon 1 activities become more efficient, Horizon 2 initiatives gain momentum, and Horizon 3 strategies start to take shape as tangible options for future growth.

Implementation challenges may include resistance to change, particularly in shifting resources from Horizon 1 to Horizons 2 and 3. Additionally, establishing a culture that embraces innovation and tolerates the risks associated with Horizon 3 initiatives can be difficult.

McKinsey 3 Horizons Model KPIs

KPIS are crucial throughout the implementation process. They provide quantifiable checkpoints to validate the alignment of operational activities with our strategic goals, ensuring that execution is not just activity-driven, but results-oriented. Further, these KPIs act as early indicators of progress or deviation, enabling agile decision-making and course correction if needed.


What gets measured gets done, what gets measured and fed back gets done well, what gets rewarded gets repeated.
     – John E. Jones

  • Percentage of Revenue by Horizon: To measure the balance of revenue streams and ensure long-term sustainability.
  • Innovation Pipeline Strength: Assesses the number of viable projects progressing through the innovation process.
  • Time to Market for Horizon 2 and 3 Initiatives: Tracks the speed at which new ventures are launched.

These KPIs offer insights into the organization's strategic balance and its ability to innovate and adapt to future market demands.

For more KPIs, take a look at the Flevy KPI Library, one of the most comprehensive databases of KPIs available. Having a centralized library of KPIs saves you significant time and effort in researching and developing metrics, allowing you to focus more on analysis, implementation of strategies, and other more value-added activities.

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Implementation Insights

Throughout the implementation, it became evident that fostering an innovation-friendly culture was as crucial as the strategic realignment. Engaging cross-functional teams in the innovation process encouraged a sense of ownership and collaboration, which McKinsey & Company reports can increase the success rate of innovation initiatives by up to 30%. This cultural shift, paired with the strategic framework, positioned the organization to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the space technology industry.

McKinsey 3 Horizons Model Deliverables

  • Horizon Growth Strategy Plan (PPT)
  • Resource Allocation Framework (Excel)
  • Innovation Pipeline Dashboard (Excel)
  • Strategic Review Report (MS Word)
  • Market Analysis and Competitive Landscape (PDF)

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McKinsey 3 Horizons Model Best Practices

To improve the effectiveness of implementation, we can leverage best practice documents in McKinsey 3 Horizons Model. These resources below were developed by management consulting firms and McKinsey 3 Horizons Model subject matter experts.

McKinsey 3 Horizons Model Case Studies

One case study involves a leading aerospace corporation that applied the 3 Horizons Model to diversify their revenue streams. By systematically investing in Horizon 2, they were able to commercialize a new satellite communication service, which now accounts for 25% of their total revenue. Another example is a space exploration startup that focused on Horizon 3 technologies, resulting in the development of a revolutionary propulsion system, securing their position as a market leader.

Explore additional related case studies

Aligning Resources Across Horizons Without Compromising Core Business

One of the primary concerns for executives is how to align resources across the various horizons without jeopardizing the performance of their core business. It's a delicate balancing act to invest in long-term innovation while sustaining the profitability of existing products and services. According to McKinsey, companies that reallocate resources regularly are 2.4 times more likely to outperform those that don’t. Executives should regularly review investment allocations and be prepared to shift resources to areas with the highest strategic value.

Executives should establish clear criteria for investment decisions and ensure that these are communicated throughout the organization. This involves setting thresholds for returns on investments for each horizon and defining the acceptable level of risk. It’s also essential to foster a culture where resource reallocation is viewed as a strategic tool rather than a threat to existing operations.

Finally, it's crucial to have a rigorous performance monitoring system in place. This allows for timely adjustments in resource allocation and ensures that all horizons are performing optimally. The use of dashboards and analytics can provide real-time insights into each horizon’s performance, enabling executives to make informed decisions quickly.

Ensuring Successful Horizon 2 Transition

Transitioning opportunities from Horizon 2 to become core parts of the business in Horizon 1 is fraught with challenges. A study by BCG found that 70% of digital transformation efforts fall short of their objectives, often due to a lack of clear ownership and insufficient resources. For space technology firms, where the pace of change is rapid, these transitions can be particularly complex.

To improve the success rate, it's critical to have dedicated teams for Horizon 2 initiatives with the autonomy and resources to drive growth. These teams should operate with an entrepreneurial mindset, separate from the core business, to avoid being constrained by the existing organizational structure and processes.

One effective approach is to establish an incubation or acceleration process for Horizon 2 initiatives, providing them with the support and oversight needed to scale successfully. This includes regular check-ins with leadership, access to cross-functional expertise, and a clear path to commercialization.

Integrating Cutting-Edge Technologies in Horizon 3 Efforts

Executives are keenly aware of the importance of integrating cutting-edge technologies to stay ahead in the space technology industry. As reported by Gartner, 89% of businesses are planning to adopt or have already adopted a digital-first business strategy. However, understanding which technologies will shape the future and how to integrate them into Horizon 3 efforts can be daunting.

Leaders must stay informed about emerging technologies and market trends, often through partnerships with research institutions, startups, and innovation hubs. This helps in identifying technologies with the potential to disrupt the market or create new opportunities for growth.

Additionally, creating a formal process for technology scanning and assessment can help prioritize Horizon 3 investments. This includes evaluating the technology's maturity level, potential impact on the industry, and alignment with the organization's strategic goals. By doing so, companies can focus their efforts on the most promising technologies and avoid spreading their resources too thinly across multiple initiatives.

Measuring the Impact of Horizon 3 Investments

Measuring the impact of Horizon 3 investments is complex due to their long-term nature and high uncertainty. A survey by Accenture found that 79% of executives agree that companies that do not rethink their innovation processes will struggle with future growth. The key is to develop metrics that reflect the progress and potential of these future-oriented investments, rather than immediate financial returns.

Metrics might include the number of patents filed, partnerships formed, or prototypes developed. These indicators provide a sense of the initiative's momentum and its alignment with future market needs. Furthermore, setting milestones for Horizon 3 projects helps in tracking progress and determining when to increase, decrease, or cease investment.

Leaders should also consider the strategic value of learning gained through Horizon 3 investments. Even when a particular initiative does not result in a marketable product or service, the knowledge acquired can inform other areas of the business and contribute to the organization's overall innovation capacity.

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Key Findings and Results

Here is a summary of the key results of this case study:

  • Improved resource allocation across all horizons, leading to a 15% increase in Horizon 2 and 3 investments.
  • Launched five new Horizon 2 initiatives, with two progressing to commercialization within the year.
  • Horizon 1 efficiency improvements resulted in a 5% reduction in operational costs.
  • Innovation pipeline strength doubled, with a 30% increase in viable Horizon 3 projects.
  • Reduced time to market for Horizon 2 initiatives by 20%, enhancing competitive positioning.
  • Established three strategic partnerships focused on cutting-edge technologies in Horizon 3.

The implementation of the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model has yielded significant advancements in the firm's strategic growth and innovation capabilities. The reallocation of resources towards Horizon 2 and 3 initiatives has not only diversified the company's investment portfolio but also positioned it for future growth in the rapidly evolving space technology sector. The reduction in operational costs and the increase in efficiency within Horizon 1 activities demonstrate successful optimization of current operations. However, the transition of Horizon 2 initiatives to commercialization, though successful for two projects, indicates a potential bottleneck or inefficiency in scaling these ventures. This could be attributed to insufficient resources or perhaps a lack of a clear path to market, which is a common challenge in rapidly changing industries. Additionally, while strategic partnerships have been established, the full potential of these collaborations in accelerating Horizon 3 innovations has yet to be fully realized, suggesting an area for further strategic focus.

For next steps, it is recommended to further refine the incubation and acceleration process for Horizon 2 initiatives, ensuring they have the necessary support and resources to scale effectively. This could involve creating more defined pathways for commercialization and increasing cross-functional collaboration to leverage the company's full range of expertise. Additionally, enhancing the strategic partnership model to include co-innovation projects could accelerate Horizon 3 efforts, bringing cutting-edge technologies to market more rapidly. Finally, a continuous review of the resource allocation framework is advised to maintain agility and responsiveness to market changes, ensuring that investments are aligned with the most promising opportunities for growth.

Source: Luxury Brand Growth Strategy for High-End Fashion in Asian Market, Flevy Management Insights, 2024

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