Strategic Foresight: A Three-Horizon Framework PPT

This PPT slide, part of the 51-slide Strategic Foresight and Uncertainty PowerPoint presentation, presents a structured framework for undertaking a strategic foresight project, utilizing a three-horizon approach. This methodology is particularly useful for organizations navigating uncertainty and complexity. The 3 horizons are clearly defined: Horizon 1 focuses on immediate responses, Horizon 2 emphasizes recovery, and Horizon 3 is oriented towards growth.

Each horizon is plotted against time, illustrating the progression from short-term actions to long-term strategic planning. The x-axis represents the timeline, segmented into months and years, while the y-axis denotes the value generated through these strategic initiatives. The visual representation suggests that as organizations move through these horizons, the value they create increases, albeit at different rates and under varying scenarios.

Embedded within each horizon are multiple scenarios, labeled Scenario 1 through Scenario 4. This indicates that organizations should anticipate different potential futures and prepare accordingly. The scenarios serve as a tool for testing assumptions and evaluating the robustness of strategies against various external factors.

The note at the bottom emphasizes that while the three-horizon approach is typically associated with long-term planning, it can be adapted for crisis situations. This flexibility is crucial for organizations that need to pivot quickly in response to unexpected challenges.

Overall, the slide encapsulates a comprehensive approach to strategic foresight, encouraging organizations to think critically about their future while remaining agile in the present. This framework is essential for leaders aiming to navigate uncertainty effectively and position their organizations for sustained success.

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Strategic Planning COVID-19 Strategic Thinking PEST Agile Strategic Foresight