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  1. Includes frameworks to help build a strategic foresight capability
  2. Provides a classification of methods used to monitor change drivers and clarify uncertainties
  3. Breaks down a process for running a strategic foresight project


Even before COVID-19, the world has been witnessing accelerating change and increasing complexity, partly due to the speed of technological development and adoption.

Strategic foresight includes a collection of method to help consider and anticipate an array of possible futures that could impact an organization, making it more adapt at facing "VUCA" - volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity.

While a strategic foresight exercise traditionally focused on a 10- to 20-year time horizon, the high levels of uncertainty created by the COVID-19 pandemic requires looking at significantly shorter time horizons.

With the traditional strategic planning assuming a reasonably stable
environment, the strategic planning process can be enhanced by embedding foresight methods and tools.


1. Strategic Foresight Overview
•  Context
•  Key definitions
•  Why use strategic foresight
•  What strategic foresight is not
•  Traditional strategic planning versus strategic foresight
•  Barriers to strategic foresight and potential counteractions
•  Benefits of strategic foresight
•  Critical considerations for strategic foresight during a crisis
•  A futurist approach to strategic planning for a given uncertainty

2. Strategic Foresight Methods
•  The Foresight Diamond
•  Examples of foresight methods
•  Two directional orientations of foresight methods
•  Common tools for corporate foresight practices

3. Strategic Foresight Frameworks

3A. Generic Foresight Process Framework
•  Key activities and associated questions
•  Key elements and their impact on the process
•  Key activities and associated tools

3B. Integrated Foresight Framework
•  Key activities and associated tools
•  Integrated foresight process

3C. Corporate Foresight Framework
•  High-level process based on MNC practices
•  Foresight integrated long-term planning

3D. Framework Foresight
•  Process with the description of each phase
•  Process with the outcome of each phase

4. Undertaking a Strategic Foresight Project
•  Phase 1: Frame
•  Phase 2: Scan
•  PESTEL analysis sample factors
•  PESTEL analysis factors - summary slide
•  Impact/uncertainty matrix - based on input from PEST or PESTEL analysis
•  Impact/uncertainty matrix - summary slide
•  Phase 3: Futurize
•  The futures cone with alternative futures
•  2 x 2 scenario matrix - summary slide
•  Identified key scenarios descriptions - summary slide
•  Three horizon approach with scenarios embedded
•  Phase 4: Envision
•  Phase 5: Design
•  Backcasting milestones
•  Phase 6: Adapt

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Strategic Foresight and Uncertainty

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File Type: PowerPoint (pptx)

File Size: 273.7 KB

Number of Slides: 51 (includes cover, transition slides)

Related Topic(s): Strategic Planning COVID-19 Strategic Thinking

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Initial upload date (first version): Oct 12, 2020
Most recent version published: Oct 12, 2020

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