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Decomposing TSR Sources: Insights from 600+ Companies PPT


This PPT slide, part of the 23-slide Value Creation Strategy Series: Phase 1 PowerPoint presentation, presents a detailed analysis of Total Shareholder Return (TSR) sources for a global sample of over 600 companies from 2000 to 2004. It breaks down the average decomposition into 3 main categories: Fundamental Value, Valuation Multiple, and Free Cash Flow. Each category is further analyzed for both the overall sample and the top decile, which consists of the highest-performing companies.

In the Fundamental Value section, the slide highlights that sales growth is a significant contributor to TSR, with an average of 10.1%, followed by EBITDA margin change at 4.7% and a smaller impact from other factors. The Valuation Multiple section shows a stark contrast, where the top decile achieved an 8.7% increase, while the overall sample experienced a decline of 7.0% in this area. This indicates that top performers managed to enhance their valuation multiples effectively.

The Free Cash Flow section reveals that the top decile companies generated 5.6% from net debt change, significantly outperforming the overall sample, which showed negative contributions from share changes and dividend yield. The text emphasizes that for the top decile, valuation multiple and net debt change were crucial differentiators, contributing positively to TSR, whereas these factors negatively impacted the broader industry.

The note at the bottom underscores that actions across all 3 dimensions—Fundamental Value, Valuation Multiple, and Free Cash Flow—were essential for driving growth in value, particularly for top performers. This analysis provides valuable insights for executives looking to understand the key drivers of TSR and identify areas for improvement in their own organizations.




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