This Excel model provides a high-level, intuitive way to calculate the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE)—the average lifetime cost to produce electricity from a power project, expressed in today's dollars. LCOE answers a simple but powerful question: what does it cost, on average, to generate one unit of energy over the full life of a project? By reducing a multi-year power plant into a single cost-per-MWh metric, the model allows different technologies such as solar, wind, nuclear, or gas to be compared on a consistent economic basis.
At its core, the model evaluates two parallel streams over time: energy production and project costs. Annual energy output is driven by inputs such as nameplate capacity, capacity factor, degradation, and project life, reflecting the reality that production typically declines over time as equipment ages. On the cost side, the model captures upfront capital expenditures, ongoing fixed and variable operating costs, scheduled major overhauls, and end-of-life decommissioning. Future costs can be escalated using an inflation rate to reflect rising nominal expenses.
Both the energy produced and the costs incurred are discounted back to present value using a discount rate, ensuring that future dollars and future megawatt-hours are measured on a comparable basis. The final LCOE is calculated by dividing the present value of all costs by the present value of total energy produced, resulting in a clean, comparable cost per MWh (and per kWh). Supporting outputs show the present value of costs and energy separately, along with a clear cost breakdown, so users can understand what is driving the final result.
The model is intentionally built on a single Excel tab with clear input formatting, making it fast to use, easy to audit, and simple to integrate into other workbooks. A built-in tornado sensitivity chart provides a high-level view of risk and importance by showing how changes in key assumptions impact the final LCOE and automatically ranking those variables by influence. Together, these features make the model well-suited for early-stage project evaluation, technology comparison, and scenario analysis, while keeping the focus on the most important economic question: the true lifetime cost of energy.
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Source: Best Practices in Energy Industry Excel: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) Financial Model Excel (XLSX) Spreadsheet, Jason Varner | SmartHelping
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