Consultants rarely have a shortage of possible causes. They have a shortage of time to test them.
Module 04: Generate and Prioritize Hypotheses provides a disciplined method for converting candidate causes and solutions into a focused, evidence-ranked shortlist before significant analysis effort is committed.
Instead of allowing the loudest opinion, easiest analysis, or first idea raised to determine the project direction, practitioners learn to generate complete sets of testable hypotheses and then prioritize them using impact, effort, evidence availability, confidence, feasibility, urgency, and risk.
The module gives consultants three complementary prioritization tools:
• Impact/Effort Matrix – rapidly screen a large hypothesis set.
• Weighted Scoring Model – create a defensible ranking when candidates are close.
• Evidence & Confidence Ladder – determine which high-priority hypotheses can be tested fastest.
It also establishes a critical consulting discipline: a hypothesis is a claim, not a conclusion. Participants learn to distinguish observations, interpretations, hypotheses, evidence, validation, and decisions—and avoid treating brainstorming, correlation, or anecdotal evidence as proof.
The result is a practical decision chain:
Generate → Rank → Evidence-Check → Commit → Analyze
Use this module when a team has too many plausible explanations and needs to determine what deserves analysis first, why it deserves attention, and what evidence should be gathered next.
Designed for management consultants, Lean Six Sigma practitioners, operational excellence leaders, project managers, and improvement professionals working with limited analytical capacity and high-stakes problems.
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Source: Best Practices in Problem Solving, Six Sigma Project PowerPoint Slides: Lean Six Sigma: Generate and Prioritize Hypotheses PowerPoint (PPTX) Presentation Slide Deck, EDS SYSTEMS
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