Skilled Home Health Care Business Financial Forecast Model (Excel XLSX)

BENEFITS OF DOCUMENT

1. Provides a structured framework to forecast revenue, operating costs, and clinician productivity based on visit-level assumptions.
2. Enables strategic staffing and capacity planning by aligning licensed clinician hours with service demand and regulatory compliance.
3. Supports investor readiness by delivering detailed financial statements, and valuation outputs tailored for home health businesses.

DESCRIPTION

This product (Skilled Home Health Care Business Financial Forecast Model) is an Excel template (XLSX), which you can download immediately upon purchase.

A Skilled Home Health Care Business provides medical services at a patient's home, delivered by licensed professionals such as Registered Nurses (RNs), Licensed Practical Nurses (LPNs), Physical Therapists (PTs), Occupational Therapists (OTs), and Speech-Language Pathologists (SLPs). The focus is on clinical care for patients recovering from illnesses, surgeries, or managing chronic conditions, based on a physician-prescribed care plan. Services are typically billed per visit or per 30-day episode under Medicare, Medicaid, or private insurance programs. The business operates under strict regulatory compliance, focusing on patient rehabilitation, medical monitoring, and improving quality of life at home.

This financial model is meticulously designed to analyze and forecast the financial performance of a Skilled Home Health Care business, capturing key revenue and cost drivers specific to the home-based clinical care industry. It focuses on revenue generation from in-home medical visits, segmented by service categories and patient types.

The model delivers a 5-year forecast horizon (60 months) starting from the first forecast month defined in the assumptions tab and includes placeholders for up to 36 months of historical financial data. Designed specifically for home health care service providers, the model incorporates operational variables such as the number of licensed clinicians, billable hours, care service mix, and days to operations commencement.

This financial model serves as an essential resource for internal planning, pricing strategies, investment presentations, and financing applications tailored to Skilled Home Health Care businesses.

Financial Model Structure:

The model is organized into the following six core sections:
1. Cover Tabs
• Navigation and instructional guidance to help users navigate the model efficiently.

2. Input Tabs
Revenue Assumptions
• Number of licensed clinical staff (RNs, PTs, OTs, SLPs).
• Billable hours per clinician per day.
• Operating days per month.
• Service categories (e.g., skilled nursing, wound care, therapy visits, medication management, post-operative care).
• % of total billed hours allocated to each service type.
• Average reimbursement per service type.
General Assumptions
• Company name, start date, currency.
• Inflation rate, payroll tax, corporate tax.
Direct Cost Assumptions
• Medical supplies and consumables per service type.
• Mileage reimbursement and subcontractor costs.
• Salaries for clinicians, supervisors, and field staff.
S,G&A Expenses
• Fixed and variable expenses including rent, utilities, administrative payroll, and marketing.
CapEx Assumptions
• Capital expenditures for clinical equipment (e.g., portable diagnostic devices, EMR systems), vehicles, furnishings, and office setup.
• Depreciation schedules for fixed assets.
Working Capital Assumptions
• Inventory turnover assumptions (medical supplies).
• Accounts receivable/payable cycles.
• Minimum cash buffer.
Financing & One-Time Expenses
• Loan details, fundraising assumptions.
• Initial setup costs (licensing, Medicare/Medicaid certification, branding, launch marketing).

3. Output Tabs
• Financial Dashboard
• Sources and Uses of Funds
• Financial Ratios
• Profitability Analysis
• Cash Flow Analysis

4. Financial Statements Tabs
• Monthly and annual projections for:
•  Profit & Loss Statement
•  Cash Flow Statement
•  Balance Sheet

5. Calculation Tabs
• Detailed forecasting of:
•  Revenue and cost of services
•  Staffing-related expenses
•  Capital expenditures
•  Financing and debt servicing

6. Advanced Analysis Tabs
• Valuation Model
• Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
• Revenue analytics
• Expense breakdowns
• Balance Sheet insights

Technical Specifications
• No VBA or Macros: Ensures maximum compatibility.
• Circular Reference-Free: Clean and stable calculations.
• Excel Compatibility: Fully functional with Excel 2010 and newer versions.

Validation Checks
The model includes automated validation tools:
• Green ticks (✓) confirm valid and complete inputs.
• Red crosses (✗) highlight missing data or structural errors.

Why Choose This Model?
This financial model is specifically designed for Skilled Home Health Care businesses, offering comprehensive tools for financial planning, investor presentations, and strategic growth initiatives. It adapts to the unique business model of home-based clinical services—including licensed clinician-driven operations, diverse medical service lines, and both episodic and ongoing patient care revenues.
Whether you're preparing for launch, seeking investment, or scaling operations, this model delivers clarity, flexibility, and financial rigor.

For customizations or professional support, our team is available to help tailor the model to your exact business structure and operational needs.
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Source: Best Practices in Integrated Financial Model, Company Financial Model, Business Plan Financial Model, Healthcare Excel: Skilled Home Health Care Business Financial Forecast Model Excel (XLSX) Spreadsheet, ExcelFinModels