BENEFITS OF DOCUMENT
DESCRIPTION
A Pharmacy Business 5-Year 3 Statement Financial Projection Model is crucial for pharmacies. It forecasts income, expenses, and cash flows, aiding strategic planning, budgeting, and resource allocation. It supports decision-making related to medication pricing, inventory management, and healthcare services. Accurate projections empower pharmacy owners to adapt to market dynamics, secure financing, and ensure profitability. It enhances financial stability, attracts investors, and supports long-term growth by aligning financial strategies with the evolving healthcare landscape. This model is indispensable for both established pharmacies and startups, ensuring their financial viability, competitiveness, and ability to provide essential healthcare services while managing costs effectively.
PURPOSE OF MODEL
Highly versatile and user-friendly Excel model for the preparation a of 5-year rolling 3 statement (Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash flow Statement) financial projection with a monthly timeline for a startup or existing Pharmacy business generating revenue through retail sales, online sales and clinic fees.
The model allows the user to model retail and online revenue and related cost of sales, clinic fee revenue, staff costs, marketing costs, other administrative costs, fixed assets, inventories, payables, borrowings, sales tax impacts, corporate tax and dividend distributions.
The model follows good practice financial modelling principles and includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations and incorporates a discounted cash flow valuation calculation using the projected cash flows.
KEY OUTPUTS
The key outputs include:
• Projected full financial statements (Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash flow Statement) presented on a monthly basis across up to 5 years and summarised on an annual basis.
• Dashboard with:
Summarised projected Income Statement and Balance Sheet;
Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for each summarised income statement and balance sheet line item;
List of key ratios including average revenue growth, average profit margins, average return on assets and equity and average Debt to Equity ratio;
Bar charts summarising income statement and balance sheet projections;
Revenue and gross profit by service category and volume of services offered over time presented in a table chart formats;
Chart showing Revenue per month by revenue stream;
Chart showing projected cash balance;
• Discounted cash flow valuation using the projected cash flow output.
• Breakeven analysis
KEY INPUTS
Inputs are split into income statement and balance sheet Inputs. Most inputs include user-friendly line item explanations and input validations to help users understand what the input is for and populate correctly.
Setup Inputs:
• Name of business;
• Currency;
• First projection year and month;
• Naming for marketing costs, staff costs, admin costs, fixed assets and borrowings;
• Sales tax applicability for services, products, direct costs, and other expenses and fixed assets.
Actuals Inputs:
• Opening balance sheet (for existing businesses);
• Income Statement actuals (for trend analysis);
Projection Inputs:
• Opening days and public holidays
• Retail and online Sales assumptions including average sales by day, cost of sales percentage, credit terms received, safety stock percentage and portion of revenue subject to sales tax;
• Clinic fee sales including patient volumes and average fee per patient.
• Staff cost inputs including staff numbers, average salary per full time position, average employer's social security percentage of salary, average annual bonus and bonus payment months.
• Other costs inputs including marketing costs and admin costs;
• Sales and corporate tax inputs including rate and payment periods;
• Dividend inputs including amount (percentage of retained earnings) and frequency;
• Fixed assets including addition amounts and useful life;
• Borrowings including addition amounts and interest rate;
• Share capital additions;
• Discount rate inputs (for valuation calculation).
MODEL STRUCTURE
The model comprises of 9 tabs split into input ('i_'), calculation ('c_'), output ('o_') and system tabs. The tabs to be populated by the user are the input tabs ('i_Setup', ‘i_Actuals' and 'i_Assumptions'). The calculation tab uses the user-defined inputs to calculate and produce the projection outputs which are presented in 'o_Fin Stats', ‘o_Dashboard' and ‘o_DCF'.
System tabs include:
• A 'Front Sheet' containing a disclaimer, instructions and contents;
• A checks dashboard containing a summary of checks by tab.
KEY FEATURES
Other key features of this model include the following:
• The model contains a flexible timeline that allows for a mix of actual and forecast period across a 5-year period. This allows projections to be easily rolled forward as forecast periods become actual period;
• Timeline is split on a monthly basis and summarised on an annual basis;
• The model allows the user to model 3 different revenue streams (retail, online and clinic fees);
• The model is not password protected and can be modified as required following download;
• The model is reviewed using specialised model audit software to help reduce risk of formula inconsistencies;
• The model allows for the following number of underlying categories for each line item (these can be easily expanded if required):
Staff costs – 5 categories;
Marketing costs – 5 categories;
Other expenses – 15 categories;
Fixed assets – 5 categories;
Borrowings – 3 facilities
• Apart from projecting revenue and costs the model includes the possibility to model receivables and payables, fixed assets, borrowings, dividends and corporate tax;
• Business name, currency, starting projection period are fully customisable;
• Revenue, cost and fixed asset descriptions are fully customisable;
• The model included an integrated discounted cash flow valuation using the projected cash flow outputs;
• The model includes instructions, line-item explanations, checks and input validations to help ensure input fields are populated accurately;
• The model includes a checks dashboard which summarises all the checks included in the various tabs making it easier to identify any errors.
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Source: Best Practices in Integrated Financial Model, Healthcare Excel: Pharmacy Business 5-Year 3 Statement Financial Projection Model Excel (XLSX) Spreadsheet, Projectify
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