Flevy Management Insights Q&A
How can the Three Horizon Framework drive long-term growth and innovation in our organization?
     David Tang    |    McKinsey Three Horizons of Growth


This article provides a detailed response to: How can the Three Horizon Framework drive long-term growth and innovation in our organization? For a comprehensive understanding of McKinsey Three Horizons of Growth, we also include relevant case studies for further reading and links to McKinsey Three Horizons of Growth best practice resources.

TLDR The Three Horizon Framework enables C-level executives to strategically balance current performance, mid-term growth, and long-term innovation for sustained organizational success.

Reading time: 5 minutes

Before we begin, let's review some important management concepts, as they related to this question.

What does Three Horizon Framework mean?
What does Operational Excellence mean?
What does Strategy Development mean?
What does Culture of Innovation mean?


Understanding the Three Horizon Framework is essential for C-level executives aiming to steer their organizations toward long-term growth and innovation. This strategic planning tool, popularized by consulting giants such as McKinsey, encourages leaders to think about their business's future in a structured manner. It divides growth initiatives into three "horizons" based on their current stage of development and potential to generate revenue. Each horizon represents a specific focus area: managing the core business, developing emerging opportunities, and creating genuinely innovative ideas that will become future revenue streams.

The first horizon focuses on the core activities that currently generate the bulk of an organization's revenue. It's about optimizing and extending the life of these products or services. For C-level executives, this means investing in Operational Excellence, Performance Management, and Risk Management to safeguard and enhance the organization's bread and butter. However, it's crucial not to become too myopic, focusing solely on Horizon 1, as this can lead to missed opportunities for future growth.

Horizon 2 is where an organization starts to sow seeds for future growth. These are ventures that have passed the ideation stage and have shown potential for scalability. They might include entering new markets, developing new products, or implementing new business models. The challenge here is to balance the investment between nurturing these emerging opportunities and not diverting too much focus from the core business. Strategy Development and Change Management play critical roles in this horizon, ensuring that these initiatives are given the resources they need to grow without destabilizing the current operations.

Finally, Horizon 3 is the realm of innovation and radical ideas that will define the future of the organization. These are long-term bets on new technologies, market trends, or business models that could potentially transform the industry. Leadership, Culture, and Innovation are key themes in this horizon, as it requires a visionary approach and a culture that supports experimentation and accepts failure as part of the innovation process. It's about looking beyond the current market dynamics and preparing for a future that might be radically different from today.

Implementing the Three Horizon Framework

To effectively implement the Three Horizon Framework, organizations need a clear template and strategy. This involves mapping out current and future initiatives across each of the three horizons and regularly reviewing and adjusting these plans as market conditions change. It's a dynamic process that requires constant attention and refinement. Consulting firms often emphasize the importance of flexibility and adaptability in applying the framework, suggesting that organizations should be prepared to pivot their strategies as new information and opportunities arise.

One actionable insight for applying the framework is to establish dedicated teams for each horizon, with specific budgets and objectives. This ensures that each horizon receives the attention it deserves without compromising the resources needed for the others. Additionally, setting clear KPIs for initiatives in each horizon can help in measuring progress and making informed decisions about where to invest further.

Another critical aspect is fostering a culture of innovation throughout the organization. This means encouraging risk-taking, rewarding creativity, and learning from failures. By creating an environment where employees feel empowered to explore new ideas, organizations can ensure a steady pipeline of innovations to fuel future growth.

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Real-World Examples

Several leading organizations have successfully applied the Three Horizon Framework to drive growth and innovation. For instance, Amazon is often cited for its ability to manage its core e-commerce business while simultaneously investing in emerging technologies like cloud computing (Amazon Web Services) and exploring future bets in areas such as artificial intelligence and space exploration. This balanced approach across the three horizons has allowed Amazon to maintain its market leadership and continue to expand into new domains.

Another example is Google, which has mastered the art of balancing its search engine business (Horizon 1) with growth initiatives such as Android and YouTube (Horizon 2), and moonshot projects under Alphabet's Other Bets category (Horizon 3). This strategy has not only solidified Google's position in its core markets but also positioned it as a leader in new, innovative fields.

In conclusion, the Three Horizon Framework offers a comprehensive template for strategic planning, ensuring that organizations maintain a balanced focus on current performance, mid-term growth opportunities, and long-term innovation. By effectively applying this framework, C-level executives can drive their organizations towards sustained growth and ensure they remain competitive in an ever-evolving market landscape.

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McKinsey Three Horizons of Growth Case Studies

For a practical understanding of McKinsey Three Horizons of Growth, take a look at these case studies.

Growth Strategy Redesign for Professional Services in Competitive Market

Scenario: The organization in question operates within the professional services industry, facing stagnation in its core offerings while grappling with the challenge of allocating resources effectively across the McKinsey Three Horizons of Growth framework.

Read Full Case Study

Telecom Infrastructure Expansion Strategy in D2C

Scenario: The organization is a mid-sized telecom provider specializing in direct-to-consumer services, facing stagnation in its core business and seeking to identify new growth avenues.

Read Full Case Study

Strategic Growth Framework for Space Technology Firm in Competitive Market

Scenario: A firm specializing in space technology is struggling to balance its current operations with innovation and new market expansion, in line with the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model.

Read Full Case Study

Luxury Brand Diversification Strategy Development

Scenario: The organization is a well-established luxury fashion house looking to innovate and expand its portfolio.

Read Full Case Study

Industrial Chemicals Growth Strategy for Specialty Materials Firm

Scenario: The organization is a specialty chemicals producer in the industrial sector, grappling with the challenge of sustaining growth while maintaining profitability.

Read Full Case Study

Horizon Growth Strategy for Aerospace Manufacturer

Scenario: The organization is a leading player in the aerospace industry, grappling with the challenge of sustaining long-term growth amid rapid technological changes and competitive pressures.

Read Full Case Study

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Related Questions

Here are our additional questions you may be interested in.

What role does sustainability play in shaping the initiatives of the Three Horizons, especially in Horizon Three?
Explore how Sustainability in Strategic Planning and Innovation shapes Horizon Three's future growth opportunities, ensuring long-term viability and competitive advantage. [Read full explanation]
How can the McKinsey Three Horizons Model guide companies in integrating digital transformation across all aspects of business?
The McKinsey Three Horizons Model guides digital transformation by optimizing current operations, investing in emerging opportunities, and innovating for the future, ensuring a balanced approach for sustained growth. [Read full explanation]
What implications does the increasing importance of sustainability and ESG criteria have on Horizon 3 investments?
The growing emphasis on sustainability and ESG criteria is fundamentally transforming Horizon 3 investments, necessitating their integration into Strategic Planning, Operational Excellence, and stakeholder engagement to drive innovation, manage risks, and ensure long-term value creation. [Read full explanation]
How does the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model assist in the integration of mergers and acquisitions into long-term strategic planning?
The McKinsey 3 Horizons Model aids in integrating M&A into Strategic Planning by categorizing acquisitions based on growth contribution and ensuring sustainable, long-term growth through balanced investment across all horizons. [Read full explanation]
What strategies can be employed to ensure a smooth transition of initiatives from Horizon Two to Horizon One?
Ensure a smooth transition from Horizon Two to Horizon One by focusing on Strategic Alignment, Resource Allocation, Capability Building, Cultural Adaptation, and effective Change Management for sustained innovation and success. [Read full explanation]
How does the rise of artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies impact the strategic planning within the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model?
AI and ML technologies significantly impact Strategic Planning within the McKinsey 3 Horizons Model by optimizing core operations, identifying emerging opportunities, and enabling radical innovation for future growth. [Read full explanation]

Source: Executive Q&A: McKinsey Three Horizons of Growth Questions, Flevy Management Insights, 2024


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