Types of Scenario Planning: Perspectives Explained PPT


This PPT slide, part of the 28-slide Scenario Planning: Oxford Approach PowerPoint presentation, outlines 3 primary types of Scenario Planning, a strategic tool that has evolved since the late 1960s. Each type serves a distinct purpose in helping organizations navigate uncertainty and make informed decisions.

The first type, the Probabilistic Perspective, focuses on making predictions based on statistical likelihoods. This approach often involves assessing scenarios in terms of best-case versus worst-case outcomes, which allows organizations to prepare for varying levels of risk. By quantifying potential outcomes, leaders can better allocate resources and develop contingency plans.

Next is the Normative Perspective, which shifts the focus from prediction to vision. This perspective encourages organizations to define what an ideal future should look like. It emphasizes the importance of aligning strategic goals with desired outcomes, fostering a proactive mindset. This approach can drive innovation and motivate teams by providing a clear target to aim for.

Lastly, the Plausibility Perspective addresses the inherent unpredictability of the future. It encourages organizations to explore the sources of uncertainty and turbulence. This perspective is about generating insights through collaboration and iterative processes. By engaging diverse viewpoints, organizations can enhance their understanding of complex situations and adapt their strategies accordingly.

Together, these perspectives provide a comprehensive framework for Scenario Planning. They enable organizations to anticipate challenges, envision possibilities, and respond effectively to changing circumstances. For potential customers, understanding these types can enhance strategic foresight and improve decision-making processes.




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